The Morgan Report Blog

Big Moves Coming In The Silver Market Morgan & Marchese Part 2

 

IN PART 2:
– Supply dynamics in the silver bull market ►0:29
– Demand dynamics in the silver bull market ►3:49
– Big moves in silver coming soon ►6:50
– How to build a precious metal portfolio ►11:52
– What is ahead for the silver mining stocks? ►13:46

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

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“Currency Crisis That’s Coming…” – Chris Marchese (co-author The Silver Manifesto)

 
Chris Marchese, an equity and economic analyst, joins me to discuss his new book, “The Silver Manifesto”. Chris is currently the analyst for The Morgan Report. He has published over 100 articles on economics, mining and investing on numerous websites and magazines.

In our discussion we cover the following topics from The Silver Manifesto:

1. What inspired the book and title, “The Silver Manifesto”?
2. How silver played an important part in the origins of money?
3. The Constitutionality of Paper Money.
4. The origins of the coming currency crisis.
5 How the national debt effects the economy?
6. What role does silver play in the current economy?
7. How people can take action into learning more about precious metals?

For more information and to follow Chris Marchese’s work you can visit: http://www.silver-investor.com/

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

Prognosticators Who Cried Wolf about Dollar & Global Economic Collapse – Part 1

 
Over the years, hundreds of various self-proclaimed prognosticators who said a global economic collapse were to happen on this date or that date have failed. Sort of like the old story about the shepherd who cried wolf.

Unfortunately this is EXACTLY what looks to be getting ready to happen. But first let me mention that the most accurate doomsday/sky is falling talking heads out there who have predicted several life changing events correctly in the past always seem to be 3-5 years early.

Why are these people always a few years early in predicting these events?
I believe it is because they focus almost strictly on fundamentals and economic data and ignore price analysis of various assets which could help in timing these events. There is no doubt in my mind they are correct about the fundamentals being out of whack and unsustainable, but I know from trading that fundamental data can lead or lag the actual markets themselves by several years.

globalcrasheditedIn 2011 and 2012 several global economic collapse scenarios started to float around the market place. Now 4-5 year later we have yet to have a global collapse. But, what is interesting is the fact that many of the things they said would start to happen HAVE started happening in the past few months.

What scares me the most is the fact that the US bond bubble may burst, the USA will not be able to service their debt, the dollar will collapse in value, and a new currency will emerge.

If this happens everyone will experience some rough times for a while. Keep in mind that most of the US dollars are held outside the United States. The dollar is global and will send a shockwave into several countries financial systems.

Secret New Global Economic Treaty
Barack Obama has been working secretly on a new treaty and potentially new world currency. Only members of Congress are allowed to look at the treaty and they are being banned from saying anything to the public.

Americans could lose most of their wealth overnight and thanks to all of this secrecy they won’t even see it coming. There is the potential for a massive devaluation in the dollar which could happen literally overnight. This means Americans (individuals holding primarily US Dollars) will wake up one morning with a fraction of the wealth they had 24 hours ago. Its scary stuff to say the least.

This new treaty is the “Trans-Pacific Partnership”, and is being touted as perhaps the most important trade agreement in history. Very few people in this country are talking about it.

Currently, there are 12 countries in negotiations: the United States, Canada, Australia, Brunei, Chile, Japan, Malaysia, Mexico, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore and Vietnam. These countries have a total population of 790 million people which accounts for an astounding 40 percent of the global economy. If the EU, China, and India join then this treaty will likely pass.

Join TheGoldAndOilGuy Trading Newsletter today and be prepared and profit from uncertain times!

Protect And Grow Your Money With Me: http://www.thegoldandoilguy.com/etf-trading-newsletter/

Chris Vermeulen

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

Silver is a better value than gold, it has more upside potential (exclusive interview)

 
The Inteligencia Financiera Global blog (Global Financial Intelligence Blog) is honored to present an exclusive interview with David Morgan “The Silver Guru”. Morgan is a world known expert on the Silver Market. We are sure our readers from around the world will enjoy it.

(Guillermo Barba, GB). David, you are the “silver guru”. Please tell us, why is silver so important for our modern lives, both as an investment and as a commodity?

(David Morgan, DM) First – common to everyone in modern life is electricity and electronic devices,which are ubiquitous throughout the world. Even remote places have cell phone coverage now. Silver is vital to all electronic devices and therefore as discussed before, silver can be considered the most important element in a high tech society. As an investment, silver has all the attributes of gold, but is a better value as it has more upside potential.

GB. Do you think that silver is a more important precious metal than gold? If so, why?

DM. Yes. I know silver is more important than gold. First, most value is determined by the marketplace on several issues, but one often is the number of “features” a certain product has. For a quick example, take a blender. You can buy one that blends at one speed or you can buy one that blends at various speeds, for different purposes– crushed ice comes to mind. So the purchase is made based upon the customer’s needs, but if both sold at the same price then most often the blender with the most features would out-sell the other blender.

With this context– Gold is money and jewelry and that is about it. But silver is the most used commodity in the metals complex–

So Silver is used in solar energy, water purification, heat reduction with silver in glass, silver is used in medicine, nanotechnology, and batteries. More than 700 tons of silver are used each year to produce ethylene oxide and formaldehyde, both of which are essential to the plastics industry.
On the monetary issue, silver is the monetary metal of history, having been used as a medium of exchange and final payment for longer than gold, more often than gold, and in far more transactions.

The gold/silver ratio in the ground is roughly one to ten. And the current gold/silver ratio is above 70, which suggests silver is undervalued. The ratio is a method to determine which metal is performing better.The gold/silver ratio was below sixteen for 3000 years; it is only in the last one hundred years that this ratio has been as high as one hundred to one. Some state this has no meaning, and perhaps that is true, but if markets revert to the “mean” it would not be the way to bet.

GB. The silver all-time-high was reached in 1980. In 2011, it was close to reaching a new high but it failed. Since then, it’s been in a correction. Why does the silver price keep falling?

DM. There are two primary reasons, one is that many silver holders have given up and sold metal back into the market. The other is that the quantity of “paper silver” can make up for a great deal of silver demand as most commodities trade far more in terms of derivatives than they do in regard to the actual commodity. Most of the time it is about a factor of one hundred, which means you only need to have about one physical ounce for every one hundred that is traded in the futures or options market. This “oversupply” of paper silver keeps the price well below where it would be if we had an all cash market, meaning you had to pay for the silver in full,with no leverage and no derivatives.

GB. What’s the average cost of production for an ounce of silver? Are these low prices affecting its production?

DM. The price varies from mining company to mining company, but for a primary silver producer we would state with today’s oil price, the cost of production is somewhere between $15 and $20 per ounce. For a base metal producer, silver can be accounted for in a variety of ways, and according to which accounting method is used silver could show up for “free” on the BOOKS- but of course we all know this is just a method of accounting, not reality.

GB. Do you recommend investing in physical silver, ETFs, or mine shares? why?

DM. We have always recommend having physical silver first as it is outside the financial system. Fully paid for silver is one of the best hedges against a failing financial system.

Next we like well-chosen mining shares such as those we feature in The Morgan Report because you get – leverage to the silver price and the potential for a company to continue to increase profits thorough exploration or acquisitions.

ETF’s do have their place for some investors and we do address these for our subscribers from time to time.

GB. Central banks around the world seem to hate gold and silver. Mainstream economics even consider gold a “barbarous relic”. Do you agree? Aren’t gold and silver real money?

DM. I disagree with the notion that gold is a barbarous relic. Silver and Gold are real money and I have presented this idea numerous times on my YouTube Channel at silverguru. Those interested might type into a Google or any good search engine –“David Morgan and real money.” You will find lots of information to explore further.

GB. Should our monetary system return to the gold standard?

DM. We outline in the book that a bimetallic standard – gold and silver is superior to a gold only standard. The book is available on Amazon or it can be ordered through us at TheSilverManifesto.com

GB. Finally David, tell us about your website Silver-investor.com and your subscription service, please.

DM. The website is TheMorganReport.com

We offer a free weekend letter that anyone interested can get for just verifying their email address. Because many want to know when to trade the gold/silver ratio, what stocks to buy or sell, which have the highest rankings, where to get the best deals on metals and many other topics we have three membership services which are described on the website. Further you can follow us on YouTube at silverguru and twitter @silverguru22.

GB. Thank you for the interview.

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

TDV Interview series David Morgan: The Shemitah, Dollar Collapse and Precious Metals

Jeff Berwick interviews silver markets expert and veteran David Morgan, topics include: the equity markets are very topped, Sept/Oct could well be a major break, the Shemitah, 7 year cycle, many large events coinciding, Sept 14-15th looking particularly significant, The Harbinger, self fulfilling prophesies, the silver price takedown, 4 years at bottom, the rush into the dollar precedes rush in to precious metals, most governments bankrupt, when it is global there is no exit, silver stocks, resource sector, zinc, the move to eliminate cash, negative interest rates, capital controls, condo bubbles, the true interest rate, a reset is immanent.

The Silver Manifesto website: http://www.thesilvermanifesto.com/

The Dollar Vigilante: http://dollarvigilante.com/

Investor Focused Market Analysis

 
Investor Focused Market Analysis

The SP500 index (US Stock Market) continues to be in and Uptrend.

The major trend line on the chart below must be broken in a big way before a full blown bear market will be confirmed. This is still months away at best so do not worry. The AlgoTrades INNER-Market Analysis will get us positioned when the time is right and enable us to profit as the stock market falls in value.
Your long term equity investments can continue to be held at this point. Speculative and momentum stocks (Russell 2K index) continue to show weakness, so I would stay away from them. Large cap stocks will likely be in favor as the safe haven “blue chip” stocks, but when the market is ready to roll over, all stocks will fall. The safe haven plays should be bonds, gold, and inverse ETF funds.

We do fear a US dollar currency crisis, and if so investors will be moving away from US investments and the massive bond bubble may burst. But at this time, it is not a concern.

bigpicturemay

S&P 500 Quarterly Chart – BIGGER PICTURE

This chart I feel provides a great perspective on the overall market trend and price patterns. This is the 70
year prospective. I hope something like this unfolds. Fingers crossed to a 12 month correction/bear market. This will build the new base for the next super cycle.

US Dollar has now reached the upper resistance trend line… we could see weakness in the dollar going forward…

70yrmay

The Risk-Off Trade Is Slowly Unfolding

The S&P 500 index is losing its momentum. Money has been rotating into Bonds and global markets for a year in anticipation of the stock market correcting.

With six months of the SP500 index trading sideways we have had to focus on some other areas to find opportunities. Some recent winners have been long oil with UCO, long live cattle with COW, long Russia via RSX, and long Japan with EWJ. Those who follow my ETF trade alerts newsletter have avoided the recent chatter in the SP500. We have be doing even better with our active stock trades.

riskoffmay

The Fear Index & Big Trend Analysis

The VIX index has been trading at low levels for a few years. This suggests that fear is low, complacency is high, and that SP500 is becoming vulnerable to a stock market correction.

In the chart below, I have placed the VIX index above the stocks trading above the 200 day moving average. As the number of stocks trading above the 200 day moving average falls it’s telling us that fewer stocks are moving up in value while the broad market climbs. This is bearish.

This provides a great visual of how falling markets correlate with investor fears. While overall market breadth remains strong, a change in the VIX often provides an early warning sign of potential danger.

“When The VIX Is Low Its Time to Go, When The VIX Is High Its Time To Buy”

vixmay

Stock Market Rises with Fewer Stocks – RED FLAG

Since mid 2014 the US stock market has become move volatile. Fewer stocks participating in the markets move up. This can be seen by comparing the percent of stocks trading above their 200 day moving average and the S&P 500 index.

When a stock market stalls, which is what it appears to be doing, the movement is comparable to that of how an aircraft stalls. It slowly continues to rise, things become choppy/unstable, then it drops and picks up speed trying to regain stability and control.

Once the stock market or an aircraft come to a complete stall they both end with a violent drop. While I am not calling a top yet, understand each month we are getting closer.

An analyst and trader I respect talked about how the Dow Jones is flat for the the year, yet investors think big profits are bing made. But in reality we have not seen real gains and the broad market expand in months. More investors are bullish now than we have almost ever seen according to Investors Intelligence Survey with a whopping 57% of investors bullish on stocks.

The CEO of Ameritrade said that almost all of their 6 million traders/investor account are completely invested in stocks, and are leveraged using margin also. This is the ultimate contrarian warning sign of a bear market should begin over the next few months.

divergenceMay

INNER-Investor Monthly Conclusion:

The great thing about being an investor is that the analysis and trends move relatively slow. We do not buy at the dead low, nor do we exit at the high, and sometimes we get shaken up during tough phases in the market like the second half of 2014 and first half of 2015.

I’ll be honest, the second half of 2014 and first portion of 2015 has been exceptionally tough to generate profits.

Winning streaks, and losing streaks are just part of investing and it happens to everyone and every strategy as the market has difference market phases and characteristics.

I believe the second half 2015 is will provide great opportunities and we will close the year out with decent gains.

Chris Vermeulen
www.GoldAndOilGuy.com

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

Northwest Liberty Academy Symposium 2015

Our mission is to teach the principles of a Free Society and Free Enterprise beginning with the Founders acknowledgement that men are by nature free and derive their natural rights from God, not government, that the proper role of good government is to protect the “inalienable right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness”, and that Free Enterprise is the right of the people to engage in a free and moral exchange of ideas, goods and services.

We will strive to help students recognize these principles along with the moral and ethical principles of a Free Society and to impart the critical understanding of standing on principles over politics.

“If the citizens neglect their Duty and place unprincipled men in office, the government will soon be corrupted; laws will be made, not for the public good so much as for selfish or local purposes; corrupt or incompetent men will be appointed to execute the Laws; the public revenues will be squandered on unworthy men; and the rights of the citizen will be violated or disregarded.”

What is the NWLA Liberty Symposium?

The Liberty Symposium, sponsored by the Northwest Liberty Academy, is a symposium that helps students learn the moral and economic principles of Free Enterprise and how it impacts our Free Society.

Get a list of this years speakers…
http://nwlibertyacademy.org/speakers/

If you are ready to sign up, click the link below…
http://nwlibertyacademy.org/apply/

Dollar Advances to-two week highs vs Yen, Euro slides

 
Money & Metals with David Morgan
Dollar Advances to-two week highs vs Yen, Euro slides

David Morgan is a widely recognized analyst in the precious metals industry and consults for hedge funds, high net worth investors, mining companies, depositories and bullion dealers. He is the publisher of The Morgan Report on Money, Metals and Mining.

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

Ellis Martin Report with David Morgan and a May Surprise

 
In this segment of The Ellis Martin Report, David Morgan speculates on dramatic develops fomented by the energy sector and derivatives for the month of May. We also discuss mining stocks and their future, mergers and acquisitions and whether it’s wise at all to average down among other issues.

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

Paper Money’s 100% Failure Rate | Morgan & Marchese (Part 1)

 

IN THIS INTERVIEW:

– What is the “Silver Manifesto” ►1:01
– Gold & Silver: the only Constitutional Money ►4:37
– Fiat money has a failure rate of 100% ►10:22
– Why a bimetallic standard is better than a monometallic gold standard ►12:55
– Is deflation bad? ►19:15
– Government monopolistic control of money is incompatible with freedom ►23:26

As publisher of The Morgan Report, David Morgan he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications.

 

David Morgan is a precious metals aficionado armed with degrees in finance and economics as well as engineering, he created the Silver-Investor.com website and originated The Morgan Report, a monthly that covers economic news, overall financial health of the global economy, currency problems, and the key reasons for investing in precious metals.

As publisher of The Morgan Report, he has appeared on CNBC, Fox Business, and BNN in Canada. He has been interviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Futures Magazine, The Gold Report and numerous other publications. If there is only one thing to teach you about this silver bull market it is this… 90% of the move comes in the last 10% of the time! Where will you be when this happens?

 

Join The Morgan Report Free for 30 Days *
* 30 Day Trial applies to new user sign ups only!
Offer does not apply to Premium Memberships.
  

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