David A Banister- www.markettrendforecast.com
Today we take a look at the Bullish Percent Index chart relative to Gold’s cycle and Gold Stocks
Essentially it tells you what percentage of Gold sector stocks are at or above a moving average, which normally would be 50 days. When 70% or more are above a 50 day moving average, sectors can be peaking out. If you look at our chart at the bottom, we have labeled various incidents with A, B, C, and D.
A. The precious metal as we all know peaked in the fall of 2011 at $1923 per ounce, and the Bullish percent index was at 80%! Usually at 30% or so, they are bottoming out in most cases.
B. We saw a rare case in the summer of 2013 where the Bullish percent index for Gold stocks was at 0%, yes that is not a miss-print.
C. Gold bottomed at 1181 in late June 2013, and then rallied up to 1434 and we saw Gold stocks rally 40-80% in individual cases and the Bullish percent index rallied up to 55%.
D. If we fast forward to December 2013, we have Gold pulling back in the final 5th wave down from the Bull cycle highs in August 2011 at $1923. The Bullish percent index is back to 10% and heading towards 0 or close once again. At the same time, the Gold miners index ETF (GDX) is at 5 year lows and even lower than June-July 2013 lows.
These types of indicators are coming to a pivot point where Gold is testing the summer 1181 lows and may go a bit lower to the 1090 ranges. At the same time, we see bottoming 5th wave patterns combining with public sentiment, bullish percent indexes, and 5 year lows in Gold stocks. This is how bottom in Bear cycles form and you are witnessing the makings of a huge bottom between now and early February 2014 if we are right.
The time to buy Gold and Gold stocks is now during the next 4-5 weeks just as we were recommending stocks in late February 2009 with public articles that nobody paid attention to. This is the time to start accumulating quality gold miner and also the precious metals themselves as the bear cycle winds down and the spring comes back to Gold and Silver in 2014.
Join us at www.markettrendforecast.com for regular updates on Gold, Silver, and The SP 500 Index.
The latest is called “2014 to be Better for Silver & Gold-David Morgan.” Precious metals expert David Morgan says, “I think 2014 is going to be better for both the metals.” Morgan is not “exceedingly bullish” on gold and silver, but he says, “If a black swan were to take place, all bets are off. This is where you could get limit-up days in gold and silver and never look back.” On the stock market, Morgan warns, “The insiders are already out . . . They’ve left the patsies holding the bag, which is the general public for the most part.” Morgan goes on to say, “As the general market goes down, you are going to see gold go up.” On the Federal Reserve, Morgan says, “I think they are really having more sleepless nights than they portend. . . . When there is a panic selloff in the bond market, and I think this will happen at some point, when there is a panic sell off and they have to stop bond trading . . . when there are nothing but sell orders, you’ve got a market crash.” Morgan contends, “The financial system on a global economic scale is in a place that has never ever been established before. So, it is very difficult to forecast how it will unravel.” But, unravel it will. That’s why Morgan says, “This is why I am such an advocate of hard money, gold and physical silver. You want to be early. You don’t want to be late.” What will the price of gold and silver be this time next year? Morgan says, “I think we’ll see $30 to $34 silver and $1,700 gold by the end of 2014.” Join Greg Hunter as he goes One-on-One with David Morgan from TheMorganReport.com.
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