The Morgan Report Blog

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SILVER is The Achilles’ Heel to the ENTIRE ECONOMIC SYSTEM ***(Must Watch!)***

SILVER is The Achilles’ Heel to the ENTIRE ECONOMIC SYSTEM

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David Morgan Talks all about SILVER with Max Keiser

Driving Silver, Not U.S. Jobs, Greece

David Morgan, founder of Silver-Investor.com, says Chinese growth is more important to gold than the U.S. jobs number and Greek crisis.

You can view the video here…

http://www.thestreet.com/video/11450547/china-driving-silver-not-us-jobs-greece.html

RedChip Small-CapRadio Interviews David Morgan

You can view the audio here…

David Morgan’s Market ‘Emotion-Meter’ Read

“The only real investment opportunities that I see are basically in the commodity sector but they are volatile and you definitely need to know what you are doing…” starts David Morgan of http://Silver-Investor.com in a CurrencyCountdown interview with Tracy Weslosky, CEO for Pro-Edge Consultants Inc. in their ongoing discussions on the US market, collapse of the Euro — and gold and silver today. 

For more information, email us at info@pro-edge.com or to be up-to-date on the investor’s guide for economic survival, go to www.CurrencyCountdown.com where you may purchase David Morgan’s “Morgan Report”.

David Morgan – Silver, Gold, Mining Shares INTERVIEW

EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW (TICKER TALK) with David Morgan, Jay Taylor, Ted Ohashi

Ted Ohashi, host of Ticker Talk interviews David Morgan, editor of Silver-Investor.com and Jay Taylor, president of Taylor Hard Money Advisors. Discussion on Gold and Silver markets.

The Great Sharing

Richard (Rick) Mills
Ahead of the Herd

As a general rule, the most successful man in life is the man who has the best information

The most investable trend over the next 20 years is going to be the rising price of commodities, rising prices will be caused by two factors;

  • Increasing consumption
  • Inflation

Consumption

Two factors are involved in increasing consumption. One is the growth in population:

2011 7 billion

2020 7.6 billion

2027 8 billion

2030 8.2 billion

2040 8.8 billion

2046 9 billion

2050 9.2 billion

The second factor is the growth in wealth in the major developing countries – China, India, and Indonesia have enormous numbers of people who are already middle class and hundreds of millions still to become middle class.

Africans, on a per capita basis, are richer than Indians and a full dozen African states have higher gross national income per capita than China. Today Africa has 14% of the world’s population and by 2050 one in every four people on the planet will be African. Development expert Vijay Majahan, author of Africa Rising, said the rapidly emerging African middle class could today number almost 300 million people – that’s out of a total population of one billion.

The Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development says the global middle class numbers 1.8 billon, or 28% of the world’s population.

According to the UN report RESILIENT PEOPLE RESILIENT PLANET A Future Worth Choosing, the number of middle-class consumers will increase by three billion people over the next 20 years.

The president of the Center for Global Development, Nancy Birdsall, calculates that India has no middle class. The McKinsey Global Institute projects that India’s middle class of 50 million, less than 5% of the country’s population, will explode to 583 million by 2030.

McKinsey Global puts China’s middle class at 43% of its population today, on its way to 76% in 2025.

Chasing The American Dream

Middle class has come to mean having what Americans have: large houses or apartments, more than one car, all the latest appliances, flat screen TVs with cable or satellite, laptops and i-pads – “development” for these people has come to mean more than just the basics – electricity, telephones and running water. Indonesia is a good example.

Indonesia – the missing BRIC?

“Indonesia is one of the world’s economic success stories.” Nielsen, Consumer and media research company

Middle-class spreadWith a population of 238m (In 2015, Indonesia’s Population is expected to be 250m) Indonesia is Southeast Asia’s fastest-growing major economy clocking growth at six percent in 2011.

The country has a rapidly expanding middle class that accounts for 44 percent of all fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) spending in the country.

Indonesians love to watch TV and nearly 95% of middle class homes owns one.

Internet usage and mobile phone ownership is surging.

Consumption accounts for almost half of GDP growth.

The country’s middle class, 1.6m in 2004, now numbers about 50m – more than India and bigger than elsewhere in the region. The number could reach 150m by 2014. It would seem newly affluent Indonesians are certainly…

Movin’ on Up

Well we’re movin on up,
To the east side.
To a deluxe apartment in the sky.
Movin on up,
To the east side.
We finally got a piece of the pie.

Fish don’t fry in the kitchen;
Beans don’t burn on the grill.
Took a whole lotta tryin’,
Just to get up that hill.
Now we’re up in the big leagues,
Gettin’ our turn at bat.
As long as we live, it’s you and me baby,
There ain’t nothin wrong with that.

Well we’re movin on up,
To the east side.
To a deluxe apartment in the sky.
Movin on up,
To the east side.
We finally got a piece of the pie.

Theme from the TV show the Jeffersons

“Given high economic growth rates in many parts of the world, as well as the rapid spread of electronic media, advertising, and consumer goods, we must ask what kind of consuming future we can expect in areas that are now constrained by poverty and isolation. If everyone develops a desire for the Western high-consumption lifestyle, the relentless growth in consumption, energy use, waste, and emissions may be disastrous.”  National Academy of Sciences, Environmentally Significant Consumption (1997)

Inflation

adjusted monetary base
“The seasonally-adjusted St. Louis Fed Adjusted Monetary Base just jumped to an historic high level in the two-week period ended February 22nd, as shown in the (above graph)… Adding liquidity to the system usually is contrary to the action that would be taken if the Fed were trying to reduce inflation. Indeed, the Fed is not trying to reduce inflation – despite inflation running significantly above its 2.0% inflation target – instead, the U.S. central bank continues its efforts to provide liquidity to a still severely-impaired U.S. banking system.” John Williams, ShadowStats.com

Consumption Facts

The human enterprise now consumes nearly 60 billion metric tons of the world’s four key resources – minerals, ores, fossil fuels and biomass (plant materials) – per year.

Developed countries citizens consume an average of 16 tons of those four key resources per capita (ranging up to 40 or more tons per person in some developed countries).

Projected Population Growth:

2020 7.6 billion

2027 8 billion

2030 8.2 billion

2040 8.8 billion

2046 9 billion

2050 9.2 billion

According to a report from the U.N., by 2050, humanity could devour an estimated 140 billion tons of minerals, ores, fossil fuels and biomass per year.

Total global resource use soared from six billion tonnes in 1900 (1.6 billion people) to 49 billion tonnes in 2000 (just over 6 billion people)  and is now running at close to 60 billion tonnes (just over 7 billion people).

Consider:

  • The average person in India today consumes just four metric tons of the world’s four key resources in a year
  • An average American uses 88 kilograms of stuff per day
  • The average American consumes about fifty-three times more goods and services than someone from China
  • A child born in the United States will drain as many resources as thirty-five natives of India
  • The UNEP-hosted International Resource Panel report entitled Decoupling: Natural Resource Use and Environmental Impacts from Economic Growth shows that on average the annual per capita consumption of natural resources – known as the ‘metabolic rate’ – in Europe is around 13 tons per person

How Long Will It Last?

Robert Gordon, Tom Graedel and colleagues at Yale University used data from the US Geological Survey’s annual reports and UN statistics on global population to answer the following:

If every human on the planet consumed minerals at just half the rate of an average US resident how many years would the minerals last?

Their calculations do not take into account new technologies or new discoveries and assume current production equals consumption.

HOW MANY YEARS LEFT?

Q & A

Commodities expert Jim Rogers said there are three questions you need to ask (and answer) to determine if a commodity is headed higher in price.

Lets answer based from a metals perspective:

Q1 – How much production is there worldwide?

A – Not enough, most older existing mines, the foundation of our supply, have increasing costs with production rates stagnating or even declining because of lower grade ore

Q2 – Are there new sources of supply?

A – Yes, but the rate of depletion is much greater than the rate of discovery.

We also face complicated more expensive extraction of metals from increasingly harder to find, lower grade ore bodies in almost inaccessible and hostile parts of the world

Q3 – Are there new potential supplies?

A – Yes, if energy was cheap and unlimited then recoverable resources would be unlimited

commodity fuel

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) said that world oil consumption grew by an estimated one million barrels a day (bbl/d) in 2011 to 88.1 million bbl/d. The EIA also said world oil consumption is expected to grow by an average 1.3 million barrels per day (bbl/d) in 2012 and 1.5 million bbl/d in 2013.

Conclusion

People in the developed nations have had the luxury of taking a great many things for granted, one of them is our lifestyle involving unfettered consumerism. We need to stop taking things for granted.

When we were kids our parents taught us the value of sharing, a lesson that’s going to come in very handy over the next few decades.

The Great Sharing should be on everyone’s radar screen. Is it on yours?

If not, maybe it should be.

Richard (Rick) Mills

rick@aheadoftheherd.com

www.aheadoftheherd.com

If you’re interested in learning more about the junior resource sector please come and visit us at www.aheadoftheherd.com

Site membership is free. No credit card or personal information is asked for.

***

Richard is host of Aheadoftheherd.com and invests in the junior resource sector. His articles have been published on over 300 websites, including: Wall Street Journal, SafeHaven, Market Oracle, USAToday, National Post, Stockhouse, Lewrockwell, Uranium Miner, Casey Research, 24hgold, Vancouver Sun, SilverBearCafe, Infomine, Huffington Post, Mineweb, 321Gold, Kitco, Gold-Eagle, The Gold/Energy Reports, Calgary Herald, Resource Investor, Mining.com, Forbes, FNArena, Uraniumseek, and Financial Sense.

***

Legal Notice / Disclaimer

This document is not and should not be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to purchase or subscribe for any investment.

Richard Mills has based this document on information obtained from sources he believes to be reliable but which has not been independently verified; Richard Mills makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. Expressions of opinion are those of Richard Mills only and are subject to change without notice. Richard Mills assumes no warranty, liability or guarantee for the current relevance, correctness or completeness of any information provided within this Report and will not be held liable for the consequence of reliance upon any opinion or statement contained herein or any omission.

Furthermore, I, Richard Mills, assume no liability for any direct or indirect loss or damage or, in particular, for lost profit, which you may incur as a result of the use and existence of the information provided within this Report.

If you are interested in learning more about the resource sector and investing in junior resource companies I would STRONGLY recommend becoming an aheadoftheherd.com member.

Ahead of the Herd provides original content in the form of articles and interviews, we screen dozens of contributors articles every day for publication and we search the web for news regarding the various resource sectors.

We do all this so you don’t have to.

No one is better when it comes to keeping YOU informed, and current, on what is happening in the world of resources.

Richard (Rick) Mills

Host, aheadoftheherd.com

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